Thursday, October 18, 2007

Iowa Race Closes-Huckabee/Thompson tied for second

The latest Rasmussen Iowa polling data shows Fred and Huck tied in a statistical dead heat here in Iowa for second and with MItt still on top.

We have avoided much discussion of Iowa polling data here at TRS. Early data is pretty unreliable. However, now that we know the actual date for the Caucuses and approach that date with seeming light speed, the data becomes more relevant (e.g. it’s isn’t that “early” anymore).

Moreover, Rasmussen has proven to be one of the more reliable and accurate polling services. It seems like the week on which we set the Caucus date presents a good time to start poll coverage and analysis.

It looks like Mitt’s lead has undergone some minor erosion, but at 25% he’s still outside the margin of error and clearly in first place. FDT continues to hold firm around 19%-showing neither surprising gains nor any meaningful diminution. Huck’s surge from single digits to 18% in the last 60 days is both testimony to the importance of the Iowa Straw Poll and the anecdotal sense that TRS and several other SCC members have observed in our travels around the state.

Polls this close mean only one thing: buckle up and strap on-its going to be a wild 77 days until Caucus ’08.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good heavens - I hope you mean "...buckle up and strap IN..." otherwise I'm gonna have to poke my eyes out.

Anonymous said...

Strap-ons? What does Hillary have to do with this?

Anonymous said...

Senator Switchback is dropping out!

Anonymous said...

Mitt's running first? Where do you get your information Ted? Mark Klein says he's got this thing sewed up man! What's going on here, Ted? I thought this fellow Klein has been shooting pretty straight here with us. Now I find out, from a reputable source, that he's not even in the game? I'm kind of disappointed. I thought all these folks running for President at least had the decency to tell the truth.

Say it ain't so, Mark Klein. Say it ain't so!

Anonymous said...

"Buckle up and strap on", Ted? I didn't know the Senator from Idaho tossed his hat in the stall, er, ring, I mean.

"Buckle up and strap on", Ted? Whoooo-weeee boy, what a Freudian slip that is. Maybe Mark Klein would like to weigh in on that one. He damn sure has a thought on everything else.

Anonymous said...

People will begin to see the Quack Klein rEVOLution when Sen. Brownback endorses Quacky next week. A huge tidal wave of support will sweep over the nation. The other candidates will only then realize the tsunami they are facing, and capitulate to the rEVOLution. We start in Iowa, then go to New Hampshire, then Michigan, then South Carolina, then Whyoming...then all the way to the White House........

Quack Klein--FUCK YEA!!!

The Deplorable Old Bulldog said...

As in "strap on your pads".

TSR meant nothing more risque than a nut cup.

Pervs, I'm blushing.

Anonymous said...

Since when do you "strap on" a maxi-pad, Ted? Mark Klein claims to be a Doctor maybe he can help us out with how the chicks apply those things.

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